Copom maintains Selic rate at 13.75% per year

How do the economy's basic interest rates impact the solar DG market?
Canal-Solar-Copom-mantem-taxa-Selic-em-1375-ao-ano
The decision was already expected by financial analysts

O Copom (Monetary Policy Committee) maintained the Selic rate, basic interest rates of the economy, in 13,75% per year. The decision was already expected by financial analysts. According to the committee, the drop in inflation helped to interrupt the cycle of rising interest rates after a year and a half of consecutive adjustments.

In a statement, Copom said it will continue to monitor the economy and may raise the Selic rate again if inflation does not fall as expected.

“The committee reinforces that it will persevere until not only the disinflation process is consolidated but also the anchoring of expectations around its goals. The committee emphasizes that future monetary policy steps may be adjusted and will not hesitate to resume the adjustment cycle if the disinflation process does not proceed as expected”, highlighted the text.

And how does the Selic rate impact the solar distributed generation market?

At the moment, around 57% of sales of photovoltaic systems in the country for the DG segment are carried out through financing lines. For this reason, professionals in the segment evaluate the rate maintenance at 13,75% as something positive and analyze how the market should react.

Carlos Bouhid, founder of Suney, explains how the Selic rate interferes with financing for solar energy. “Firstly, because the cost of funding from several financial institutions is linked to the CDI and this, consequently, is passed on to the end consumer. Secondly, because other fixed income and lower risk investments become more attractive, reducing the risk of some investors for this type of asset”, he analyzes.

Microgeneration represents more than 99.2% of solar DG systems in Brazil

Jackson Chirollo, CEO of Edmond, recalls that the photovoltaic sector experienced a moderate reduction in demand at the beginning of this year because many Brazilians had to renegotiate interest rates on financing already approved and, in some cases, had withdrawals and postponements in the execution of projects.

On the other hand, Antonio Nuno Verças, CEO of Sol Agora, highlights that, in addition to the Selic rate, it is necessary to look at the spread, which is the difference between the purchase and sale price of a share.

“We understand that it is more relevant to look at the spread and the possibility of offering slightly longer terms and fixed installments than just looking at the rates, as we consider the acquisition of solar energy generators to be a long-term investment”, he analyzes.

“Having the ability to offer slightly longer terms for this type of financing, we can dilute the installment to fit the customer’s payment capacity. Even with a slightly higher rate, extending the term, sometimes the installment can be identical to the invoice or even a little lower. So, having longer terms is quite important, sometimes even more important than the rate itself”, adds Verças.

The CEO of Sol Agora also highlights that when evaluating investment in the acquisition of photovoltaic generators, the possibility of offering financing with fixed, pre-fixed rates should be considered, which guarantees the end customer that the installment will not fluctuate.

“This ensures stability throughout the financing, that is, the person knows that they will pay that installment over four, five or six years, whatever the contract, and that there will be no surprises, regardless of variations in inflation or rates. market interest rate (Selic), thus ensuring good predictability of the return on investment from the acquisition of generators”, he comments.

Verças also emphasizes that financing distributed generation equipment should be seen as an investment, which will mean freedom from your electricity bill in a short space of time.

“As for the issue of the final interest rate, it should be thought of from the perspective of the real spread and not the final interest rate. Because if the person is going to leave the money in the bank, they will also have a higher remuneration than they had when the interest rates in the reference market, the Selic, were lower”, he concludes.

Bouhid highlights that the ESG agenda is on the rise in companies and this has contributed to the search for renewable energy, especially solar. “Assets with an ESG appeal continue to be well-regarded by the market and I believe that more institutions are starting to look at the sector, which could generate greater competition and pressure for rates not to rise so much”, he adds.

Picture of Ericka Araújo
Ericka Araújo
Head of journalism at Canal Solar. Presenter of Papo Solar. Since 2020, it has been following the photovoltaic market. He has experience in podcast production, interview programs and writing journalistic articles. In 2019, he received the 2019 Tropical Journalist Award from SBMT and the FEAC Journalism Award.

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