Distributed generation (DG) in Brazil is expected to show an estimated growth of around 15% in installed capacity in 2026, according to a projection released by ABGD (Brazilian Association of Distributed Generation) this Tuesday (13).
The sector begins the year with 3,87 million connected systems, distributed across 5.565 municipalities. In total, nearly 7 million consumer units receive energy credits, totaling 43,5 GW and benefiting 21 million people.
In 2024 and 2025 alone, the country registered more than 1,5 million new connections. By 2026, the projection is that distributed generation (DG) will reach 50 GW of installed capacity, provided there is regulatory predictability, legal certainty, and investments in network infrastructure.
"The expectation is for technological advancement, greater integration with on-load storage systems (batteries near consumers), and expansion of collective models, such as solar condominiums," said Carlos Evangelista, president of ABGD.
Currently, solar energy alone accounts for 99% of the installed capacity of distributed generation in Brazil. Even so, distributed generation also incorporates other sources in a complementary and strategic way, such as biogas and small hydroelectric plants.
Of the total systems installed, the residential sector leads with over 3 million connections, followed by the commercial and rural segments, highlighting the model's growing popularity.
States like São Paulo, Minas Gerais, Paraná, and Rio Grande do Sul concentrate a significant portion of the installed capacity, but the expansion is widespread, reaching small and medium-sized cities and different consumer profiles.
Evangelista points out that, in addition to expanding access to renewable energy, distributed generation (DG) brings significant economic and systemic benefits, such as:
- Reducing losses in the electrical grid;
- Postponement of investments in transmission and distribution.
- Generation of local and skilled jobs;
- Attracting private capital without burdening the state, with positive effects on tariff moderation in the medium and long term.
"All of this is shown in a detailed and in-depth study developed in 2025, coordinated by expert consultants from USP (University of São Paulo)," highlighted the president of ABGD.
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