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Home / News / ONS: estimated load for January predicts a drop of 1,4%

ONS: estimated load for January predicts a drop of 1,4%

Since November, national energy demand has been showing negative numbers
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  • Photo by Wagner Freire Wagner Freire
  • January 20, 2023, at 16:52 AM
1 min 48 sec read
20-01-2023-canal-solar-ONS-estimated-load-for-January-forecast-fall-of-14.jpg
The milder temperatures for the period have contributed to a reduction in electrical demand. Photo: Envato Elements

A power load of the National Interconnected System (SIN) in January is estimated at 71.212 average MW, which represents a drop of 1,4%, in comparison with the same month in 2022. Since November, national energy demand has been showing negative numbers.

According to the most recent bulletin of the Monthly Operation Program, referring to the period from January 21st to 27th, loads in the Southeast and South regions are estimated, respectively, at 40.321 MWmed (-2,8%) and 13.003 MWmed (-5,6. XNUMX%). The milder temperatures for the period have contributed to a reduction in electrical demand.

On the other hand, the ONS sees growth in loads in the North (11,6% or 6.381 MWmed) and Northeast (2,3% or 11.507 MWmed) subsystems.

energy storage

As updated projections for the Stored Energy (EAR) in hydroelectric plants at the end of January are higher than those previously announced. According to the ONS, the Southeast/Central-West could close the month with 69% storage, compared to 67% in the previous bulletin.

"If the projection is confirmed, it will be the highest EAR percentage for January in the region in 11 years, when it reached 76,1%”, highlights the entity responsible for managing the SIN.

The prospective scenarios for the other submarkets are: 86,6% in the South (compared to 83,1% indicated last week), 71% (70%) for the Northeast and the North with 98,4%, significant growth compared to 70,1 .XNUMX% from last week.

Rain

The prospective scenarios of Affluent Natural Energy (ENA), volume of rainfall converted into electrical energy, are above 90% of the Long Term Average (MLT), at the end of January 2023, throughout Brazil. For three subsystems, the estimated ENA is greater than 100% of the MLT for the fourth consecutive week.

The Southeast/Central-West, where around 70% of the reservoirs connected to the SIN are located, can record 120% of the MLT (compared to 122% in the previous edition). The North again records the highest rate: 152% of MLT (156%). For the Northeast, the ENA estimate, at the end of the month, is 106% of the MLT (108%). Finally, the South maintained an upward trend in the ENA projection, with 93% of the MLT (84%). The data indicate a rainfall pattern compatible with the humid period.

energy storage load storage course ONS (National Electric System Operator) SIN (National Interconnected System)
Photo by Wagner Freire
Wagner Freire
Wagner Freire is a journalist graduated from FMU. He worked as a reporter for Jornal da Energia, Canal Energy and Agência Estado. Covering the electricity sector since 2011. Has experience in covering events such as energy auctions, conventions, lectures, fairs, congresses and seminars.
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