Discussions for COP30, to be held in Brazil in November, may begin against a backdrop of increased uncertainty regarding actions to combat global warming by participating countries.
A new critical issue has emerged, adding to another fundamental point that remained unresolved at COP29, held in Baku, Azerbaijan.
At the time, the NCQG (New Collective Quantified Target) for climate finance was pending. There were indications of only US$300 billion available annually against a demand of US$1,3 trillion, requested by developing countries for energy transition and climate resilience.
Doubts about global progress were reinforced yesterday (28), when the main UN report that will serve as input for COP30 was released.
The document ended up inconclusive because 134 of the 198 members of the UNFCCC (United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change) did not submit their NDCs, which are national emission reduction targets, by the September deadline.
Due to a lack of information, the UNFCCC was unable to calculate the temperature towards which the world is heading, and the risk is that the possibility of reaching or avoiding the 1,5°C limit remains completely uncertain.
The report analyzed data from only 64 countries, a share that represents less than a third of emissions. Among those that failed to meet their targets on time are China, India, and the European Union, three of the four nations that emit the most greenhouse gases.
Meanwhile, Microsoft founder Bill Gates, who will not be participating in the... COP30 In Brazil this year, a memo was released that had a high impact, adding more unpredictability.
In an unexpected outburst, he began criticizing what he calls the "apocalyptic view" of climate change.
Gates, who has already dedicated billions in resources to warning the world about global warming, now understands that it is time to adopt a more measured tone.
He argues that an excessive focus on short-term emissions targets diverts resources from more effective solutions, and that issues such as human health and equality risk being overshadowed.
Bill Gates argues that we need to "put human well-being at the center of our climate strategies" and recommends that COP30 would be an opportunity to focus on how to adapt to reality and improve lives.
Rumors have emerged in the market that this new stance may be linked to a supposed realignment of convenience on the part of "big tech" companies, involving the refractory policies of US President Donald Trump regarding climate issues.
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