Distributed generation is among the M&A trends for the year 2024

Market sees resumption of private credit, with lower rates than those applied in 2023
2 minute(s) of reading
Mercado vê retomada do crédito privado, com taxas menores das aplicadas em 2023
Photo: Freepik

With a very busy end of the year in the Brazilian political scenario, with several norms approved in the National Congress, demonstrating that the Federal Government has managed to approve the norms it needs for fiscal adjustment, the mergers and acquisitions (M&A) industry must start 2024 with more appetite than in 2023.  

Some other factors contribute to the distributed generation sector being one of the target markets for this type of transactions. After the Americanas case, the market sees a resumption of private credit, with lower rates than those applied in 2023. The expectation of a continued decrease in the SELIC rate throughout 2024. 

Despite the drop and normalization of prices for photovoltaic solar energy generation equipment in 2023, there is an upward trend due to the increase in the tax burden on imported products, which includes photovoltaic modules. 

Capital market appetite for assets that can be classified as fixed income and bring profitability just above the CDI (Interbank Deposit Certificate). 

Difficulties in the process of requesting access and connection to the electricity distribution network. Race against time to connect projects classified as GDI, which will also allow compensation of full energy credits (TE + TUSD). 

These are some of the examples that lead us to believe that 2024 will be a very busy year for the distributed generation sector. 

In addition to these factors, there are also several players who entered this market at the very beginning, and who perhaps, at this moment, with higher purchase offer prices, can verify the expected return, leading them to sell their operational assets. 

On the other hand, international investors have sought to invest in Brazil, especially in the electrical energy sector, which in recent years has proven to be not only profitable and sustainable, but strategic for geopolitical thinking.

As a professional who has followed this market since its inception, and experienced in consolidation movements in other markets in the past, I have high expectations for distributed generation in 2024. 


The opinions and information expressed are the sole responsibility of the author and do not necessarily represent the official position of Canal Solar.

Picture of Einar Tribuci
Einar Tribuci
Lawyer specializing in the electricity sector and tax law, founding partner of Tribuci Advogados and legal and tax director of ABGD. He has experience as a lawyer for over 15 years, working in various areas of law, especially contracts in the electricity and tax sector in general.

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