The electrical energy load of the SIN (National Interconnected System) points to a growth of 2,9% in June, reaching 71.232 average megawatts (MWmed), informed the ONS (National System Operator) in a bulletin released last Friday- fair, 30.
Check out load growth forecast for each submarket:
- North, 12,8% (7.280 MWmed);
- Northeast, 4,9% (11.712 MWmed);
- South, 1,3% (12.223 MWmed);
- Southeast/Central-West, 1,2% (40.017 MWmed).
According to the ONS, the percentages and numbers presented compare estimates for the end of July 2023, compared to the same period last year.
energy storage
The prospects for energy storage in hydroelectric plants point to levels above 80% in all submarkets: North (96%), Southeast/Central-West (83,5%) and South (82,8%). For the Northeast, the indication is 79%.
“The projections for the North and Southeast/Central-West, if confirmed, will represent a record for stored energy for both for the month analyzed in the entire historical series starting in 1999”, says the note.
Rain prospects
The ONS said that forecasts for ENA (Affluent Natural Energy) are compatible with the typically dry period in which we are living. ENA represents the volume of water that reaches the reservoirs capable of being converted into hydroelectric energy.
The Southeast/Central-West, a region that concentrates 70% of the SIN's reservoirs, has the prospect of recording an ENA of 86% of the Long-Term Average (MLT) on the last day of July, the highest indicator among all regions. Next, there is the North, with 80% of the MLT; South, with 64% of the MLT, and the Northeast, with 55% of the MLT. The MLT represents the historical inflows.
“The Operator continues to monitor the possible effects of the El Niño phenomenon, such as the possibility, in the coming months, of higher rainfall in the South region, above-average temperatures in the Center-South and reduced precipitation in the North and Northeast.”
The CMO (Marginal Operating Cost) remains at zero throughout Brazil for the twenty-eighth consecutive week, a pattern that began at the end of December 2022. In this way, the CMO was at zero value throughout the first half of 2023. The CMO represents the cost to produce the next MWh to meet the country's electricity demand.
