COP 31: Brazil rises six positions in the global climate ranking, but remains outside the top 20.

Brazil has moved up six positions in the Climate Change Performance Index (Climate Change Performance Index CCPI 2027), moving from 27th to 21st place among the countries evaluated. The ranking assesses the performance of 64 countries and the European Union. as a regional bloc.

Despite the improvement, the country remains in the average performance range, indicating that it still faces challenges in aligning its policies and actions with the goals of the Paris Agreement.

Published this Wednesday (11), during COP31 (31st United Nations Conference on Climate Change), in Antalya, Turkey, the index is produced by the organizations Germanwatch and NewClimate Institute.

According to the survey, the expansion of renewable energy sources and the reduction in deforestation in the last year contributed to the improvement of Brazil's position.

The result, however, highlights a contradiction: although Brazil has an electricity matrix with a significant share of renewable sources, it remains among the world's largest producers and consumers of oil.

“Brazil has stood out in recent years for its climate progress, both in leading COP30 and in expanding renewable energies and controlling deforestation,” observes Ricardo Baitelo, a researcher at IEMA (Institute of Energy and Environment), a one of the organizations responsible for evaluating Brazilian performance in the climate policy category in the study. 

To advance the climate agenda, the professional believes that the country needs to establish a trajectory for the gradual elimination of fossil fuels and align its legislation and public financing mechanisms with a path compatible with the 1,5°C warming limit.

This would require not only increasing the share of renewable sources, but also directing investments and energy planning decisions to reduce dependence on fossil fuels.

Brazilian performance and international outlook

The CCPI assesses countries' climate performance in four categories: greenhouse gas emissions, which account for 40% of the score; renewable energy (20%); energy use (20%); and climate policy (20%). 

In the Brazilian case, the study points to high performance in the climate policy category, while the indicators for emissions, renewable energy, and energy use show lower ratings.

The result demonstrates that the existence of climate policies and commitments needs to be accompanied by concrete progress in reducing emissions and transforming the energy system.

In the overall ranking, the top three positions remain vacant, as none of the countries evaluated have demonstrated performance considered sufficient to meet the goals of the Paris Agreement.

Denmark ranks fourth for the sixth consecutive year, maintaining its leading position among the countries evaluated. This result is driven by the continued reduction of emissions and the expansion of renewable energy sources.

Lithuania follows in fifth place, and Luxembourg in sixth. The United Kingdom, in seventh position, remains the only G20 member with a high ranking in the index.

Most countries in the group, responsible for more than 75% of global greenhouse gas emissions, still show insufficient results. Brazil and China stand out among the G20 members for achieving an average rating.

At the other end of the ranking, Iran occupies the last position (68th), replacing the United States, which left the bottom of the ranking and advanced one place.

The European Union ranks 19th and leads the group with average performance. In addition to the countries assessed individually, the CCPI also ranks the European bloc, considering its overall climate performance.

The international landscape highlights differences in national policies and progress, and also shows that there is still a significant gap between climate commitments made and the results actually achieved.

Lula will speak this Wednesday (11)

President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) is already in Turkey, where he is participating in COP 31 this Wednesday (11). The Brazilian president will make at least three speeches during the event and, in all of them, The focus should be on the energy transition..

Lula will be part of the opening speeches at the event alongside the presidents of Turkey and Australia, then he will give a three-minute speech addressed to all heads of state, and he will also speak during an event for the TFFF (Tropical Forests Forever Fund).

According to the president of INEL (National Institute of Clean Energy), Heber Galarce believes that Brazil's participation in COP 31 needs to go beyond international commitments and be reflected in concrete measures to guarantee competitive energy, security of supply, job creation, and the attraction of investments. 

“Brazil has an advantage that the world is looking for: a strongly renewable electricity matrix and the potential to advance. But climate leadership is also measured by the ability to transform this wealth into competitive energy, security of supply, jobs and investments. COP is an opportunity to demand this coherence between international commitments and decisions made within the country,” he said.

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