The National Electric Energy Agency (ANEEL) announced this Tuesday (10/12) the preliminary budget of the Energy Development Account (CDE) for 2025. The forecast is a cause for concern among energy consumers, as the fund is expected to reach R$40,6 billion, an increase of 9,13% compared to the R$37,2 billion approved for 2024.
This amount may increase even further, with the possible inclusion of additional expenses resulting from Provisional Measure No. 1.232/2024. The budget will be debated at Public Consultation No. 38/2024, open for contributions between December 12, 2024 and January 24, 2025. The CDE is a sectoral fund intended to finance various public policies in the electricity sector.
Impact on consumers: 18,2% increase in CDE-Use
Of the total amount, R$36,5 billion will be directed to CDE-Uso, a portion of the charge paid directly by energy consumers. This amount represents an increase of 18,2% compared to the 2024 budget.
According to ANEEL, the main reason for this increase is the cost of tariff discounts applied to consumers in the Free Contracting Environment (ACL), who purchase energy from incentivized sources. “The increase in relation to 2024 amounts to R$3,6 billion”, reported the Agency.
Regional distribution of impact
The effects will be felt unevenly across the country. High-voltage consumers in the South and Southeast/Central-West regions will face an average adjustment of 4,8%. Low-voltage consumers in the North and Northeast will face a much greater impact, with an average increase of 25,8%.
Factors that put pressure on costs
Among the factors that increase the costs of the CDE is the increase in the budget for the Luz para Todos Program, which aims to universalize access to electricity. The Ministry of Mines and Energy (MME) increased the resources allocated to the program by R$1,45 billion, which will total R$3,95 billion in 2025.
Furthermore, revenues originally forecast for the CDE, referring to the years 2025, 2026 and 2027, were redirected by MP 1.212/2024 to pay off debts from the Covid Account and the Water Scarcity Account.
MP 1.232/2024: new cash costs
Provisional Measure No. 1.232/2024, which allowed the change of control of the Amazonas Energia concession, will also impact the CDE. According to the ANEEL, the financial effects of this MP, including impacts on the Fuel Consumption Account (CCC), have not yet been included in the 2025 provisional budget, but should be incorporated into the final decision.
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