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Politics & Regulation

Government publishes decree to avoid 6% increase in tariffs in 2025

Measure seeks to calibrate the agreement signed between Brazil and Paraguay to define the price of energy from Itaipu in the coming years

Government publishes decree to avoid 6% increase in tariffs in 2025

Photo: Joel Rocha/Disclosure/Itaipu

The Federal Government published this Wednesday (5) a decree that makes it easier to use the Itaipu hydroelectric plant bonus from the previous year to cover any deficits in the plant's Electric Energy Commercialization Account.

With this measure, the expectation is to avoid an increase in the energy tariff for consumers in the captive market of 5,99% this year, according to calculations by ANEEL (National Electric Energy Agency).

The Decree 12.390/2025 authorizes ENBPar (Brazilian Nuclear and Binational Energy Participation Company), the state-owned company responsible for managing Itaipu, to establish a technical financial reserve with the positive balance of the Commercialization Account at the end of the previous year.

The amount may include recomposition values ​​not yet distributed and will be used to mitigate impacts on cash flow and variations in the plant's transfer tariff, with a limit of 5% of the expected annual collection.

A ANEEL will annually approve the value of the financial reserve after the presentation of the result of the Marketing Account.

Calculation error correction

The decree corrects a calibration error in the agreement signed between Brazil and Paraguay in May last year to set the price of Itaipu energy in 2024, 2025 and 2026.

At the time, Paraguayan President Santiago Peña advocated an increase in the tariff to just over US$22,00 kW/month, even after the hydroelectric plant's financing was paid off. This amount, however, would result in a significant increase in Brazilians' electricity bills.

With the negotiation led by the Minister of Mines and Energy, Alexandre Silveira, a compromise was reached: the tariff for energy sold by Paraguay to Brazil was readjusted by 15,4%, rising from US$ 16,71 to US$ 19,28 kW/month until 2026.

On the Brazilian side, the tariff of US$ 16,71 kW/month was maintained, plus US$ 0,95 kW/month to cover the cost of energy provided by Paraguay, totaling US$ 17,66 kW/month.

This balance was made possible by a commitment by Itaipu itself to contribute around US$300 million annually to subsidize the tariff on the Brazilian side. However, the amount was not enough, generating a deficit of R$333 million in the 2024 Commercialization Account.

Added to the amount needed to balance the account in 2025, the total impact would be US$ 120,9 million (approximately R$ 700 million), resulting in a 5,99% increase in the transfer fee. The decree issued by the Federal Government seeks to avoid this transfer to the consumer.

Itaipu Bonus

The Itaipu bonus is a positive balance generated in the Itaipu Electric Energy Marketing Account at the end of a financial year.

This balance may arise due to several factors, such as variations in tariff collection, lower than expected operating costs or extra revenue related to the sale of energy.

This accumulated amount can be used to reduce tariff impacts, helping to balance the plant's cash flow and avoid significant increases in Brazilian consumers' electricity bills.

With the recent decree from the Federal Government, this bonus can be used to cover deficits in the Itaipu Commercialization Account, ensuring greater predictability in the transfer of the tariff to the consumer and avoiding abrupt adjustments in the captive energy market.

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Wagner Freire
About the Author
Wagner Freire

Wagner Freire is a journalist graduated from FMU. He worked as a reporter for Jornal da Energia, Canal Energy and Agência Estado. Covering the electricity sector since 2011. Has experience in covering events such as energy auctions, conventions, lectures, fairs, congresses and seminars.

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